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Draft — methodology published, data collection in progress

This page is the study design, not the findings. The results tables below are deliberately empty and every one is marked pending. Nothing here should be read, quoted or cited as a finding yet.

It is set to noindex until real data replaces the placeholders. The methodology is published first on purpose — pre-registering how you will measure, before you look, is what stops a study quietly becoming whatever the data needed to say.

Original Research · In Progress

AI Search Visibility Benchmark 2026: India & UAE

120 commercial prompts across ChatGPT, Gemini, Perplexity and Google AI Overviews — measuring who gets mentioned, who gets cited with a link, and what those sources have in common.

AI Search Visibility Benchmark 2026 for India and the UAE — illustration of citation measurement across AI answer engines
120 commercial prompts, four platforms, two markets — methodology published before the results.

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Why this study

There is a great deal of published advice about AI search visibility and remarkably little published measurement — particularly for the markets I work in. Almost every benchmark I can find is US-centric, and almost none of them publish their prompt set, which makes the results impossible to check or reproduce.

So the niche here is deliberate: India and the UAE, commercial intent, open methodology. Narrower than a global study, but genuinely uncontested, and far more useful to the businesses actually buying these services.

The question

When a real buyer in India or the UAE asks an AI assistant a commercial question, which sources get cited, and what do those sources have in common? Not "how do I rank in ChatGPT" in the abstract — what is observably true across a fixed prompt set, tested identically on each platform.

Methodology

Platforms tested

PlatformSurfaceMode
ChatGPTChatGPT SearchWeb search enabled, logged out, memory off
Google GeminiGemini appDefault model, fresh session
PerplexityPerplexity SearchDefault, not Pro/focus mode
Google SearchAI Overviews / AI ModeIncognito, location set per market

Controls

Anything that lets results drift is a threat to the finding, so these are fixed in advance:

Prompt set: 120 prompts, 6 verticals

Twenty prompts per vertical, split across three intent stages so the study can separate discovery from decision:

VerticalDiscovery (8)Comparison (6)Decision (6)
SEO / digital marketing"how do I improve my website's Google ranking""SEO agency vs freelance SEO consultant""best SEO consultant in Indore"
Website design & development"how much does a business website cost in India""Webflow vs custom website for a small business""who can build my website in a week"
Local services"how do I get my business on Google Maps""local SEO vs Google Ads for a service business""Google Business Profile expert in Dubai"
eCommerce"why is my Shopify store not getting traffic""Shopify SEO vs WooCommerce SEO""eCommerce SEO agency for a 10,000 SKU catalogue"
SaaS"how do SaaS companies get organic signups""content marketing vs paid ads for SaaS""SaaS SEO consultant India"
Marketing automation"how do I automate marketing reporting""Make.com vs n8n vs Zapier""who can build a GA4 reporting automation"

The full 120-prompt list ships with the results as a CSV, so anyone can reproduce or challenge the study. A benchmark whose inputs are secret is marketing, not research.

What gets recorded per response

FieldValuesWhy it is measured
Brands mentionedListMention without a link still shapes the buyer
Sources citedURLsThe actual citation, the thing being competed for
Domain typeBrand / Reddit / YouTube / publisher / directory / forumTests whether owned sites win at all, or aggregators dominate
Ranks in Google top 10?Yes / No / PositionTests how tightly citation tracks classic ranking
Content formatGuide / listicle / product / comparison / forum threadWhich formats get lifted
FreshnessPublished / modified dateWhether recency correlates with citation
Entity signalsOrg schema, sameAs, consistent NAPWhether entity clarity correlates with citation
Word countIntegerDepth vs brevity
Has original data?Yes / NoTests the information-gain hypothesis directly
Third-party mentionsCountOff-site authority

Collection template

One row per prompt per platform — 480 rows at full coverage:

market,vertical,intent,prompt_id,prompt,platform,run_date,
brands_mentioned,sources_cited,domain_type,google_rank,
content_format,published_date,modified_date,has_org_schema,
has_sameas,nap_consistent,word_count,has_original_data,
third_party_mentions,screenshot_ref,notes

Hypotheses, stated before looking

Written down in advance so they can be wrong:

  1. H1 — Most cited sources already rank in Google's top 10 for a related query, supporting the view that AI retrieval sits on classic ranking.
  2. H2 — Aggregators, forums and directories out-cite brand-owned pages on discovery prompts, and lose ground on decision prompts.
  3. H3 — Pages with original data are cited disproportionately relative to how often they occur.
  4. H4 — India and UAE results diverge most on local-intent prompts and converge on informational ones.
  5. H5 — Overlap between platforms is lower than assumed; winning ChatGPT does not mean winning Perplexity.
Known limitations

Stated up front because a benchmark that hides them is not worth citing. Single-run sampling means model non-determinism is uncontrolled — the same prompt can return different sources. Results are a snapshot of one collection window, not a trend. 120 prompts across 6 verticals is a small n per vertical. Logged-out testing removes personalisation, which real users have. None of this invalidates the study; it bounds what it can claim.

Results

Pending data collectionCitation rate by platform — who gets linked, and how often
Pending data collectionDomain type distribution — brand vs Reddit vs YouTube vs publisher
Pending data collectionCorrelation between Google top-10 ranking and AI citation
Pending data collectionCross-platform overlap — how much do the four agree?
Pending data collectionIndia vs UAE divergence by intent stage
Pending data collectionContent and entity attributes of cited pages

What this will let us say

Once populated, this becomes the thing almost no AI-search article currently has: observed data from a stated market, with a published prompt set anyone can rerun.

Whether it confirms the hypotheses or contradicts them is genuinely open — and a study that can only confirm what its author already sells is not a study. If H1 fails and cited pages routinely do not rank, that is a more interesting finding than if it holds.

Reproducing it

When results publish, the prompt CSV, the scoring rubric and the aggregated dataset publish with them. Rerun it, disagree with it, or run it for your own market — the design is deliberately reusable.